Wednesday, August 5, 2009

Keeping the subject, Good etiquette, and Joe the Plumber

I remember, a long time ago in a galaxy far away, when I was the member of a mailing list for several years there was a netiquette (interNET etiquette) document that had guidelines for engaging in conversation from one member to the other using the form of a mailing list.

This list was a list of guidelines to promote a healthy exchange of words. It was not meant to stifle or censor anyone. It was there in place to define the sandbox that we all could play in.

This was a list of guidelines that was generated back when people used dial-up modem to connect at a whopping 1200-2400-4800-9600-32k baud (whoooooo-eeeeee.. dang that's fast) using a Wyse 60 dumb terminal when it was really quite taboo to post pictures and other multimedia in the messages as not everybody had a faster modem to download the attachments *and* it also was possible that not everybody had a machine that could really handle attachments. So, we had rules to keep the fluff to a minimum so that the words posted would all count for well and not be a waste of time for those reading it. You never had a post that was a 95% from a previous message by someone and a reply that said "yes" as the only new and original words. It defined the sandbox we all played in. We called it ...

Internet Etiquette... or Netiquette

I think these are good guidelines that people would be good to abide by as it promotes respectability among others that don't necessarily think the same way as themselves. Now, for the reason of saving some space, some Netiquette Points have one or more paragraphs explaining them that I might cut out from this blog as it is a point that really isn't relative to conversations these days. If this is so.. you'll see a --snip-- beside the point.

Of the guidelines below, they are listed from #1 - #13 and then there are *other considerations* that are listed from A - G. I think that everything below is good general rules for debate.

The one that I see below that is violated the most is usually the 'other guideline E'. Where it talks about 'are you posting an opinion on the topic?' -or- 'have you become the topic?' I've written about opinions before in my blog about 'Judge and Judging' so you should have an idea of how I think on the matter.

The way I see the dominant media culture these days, is that they can't KEEP TO THE SUBJECT (topic). Back in the days of the mailing list, when there was a particular passionate subject being discussed, eventually tempers would flare and bad words would come out, and people would start to insult the *person* that has a different opinion and attempt to put them in a darker light because ... simply... they have ran out of intelligent arguments to debate the other position. They either run out of facts, ideas, notions, etc, etc, etc... they get desperate and they then feel a need to somehow bring the other messenger down because they can't combat the point given with something real, tangible, and with great flair and understanding to bring others into their corner.

The person attempting to put the others into a bad light, willfully make the other people the subject matter of the topic. Which takes the subject off of it's focus. When this happens, the moderators would have to step in, slap the person(s) on the mailing list with a warning and tell them their error that they've gone off topic and are making this a venomous argument wanting to combat the person and not the persons ideas. To be formally followed with apologies.

The same thing happens with the dominant media culture. How many times have they personally attacked those that are giving their opinions? They don't do a good job at refuting the opinions, but they sure want you to know that that person is a no-gooder type person. They'll do anything to cast a bad light upon the object of their disdain. They'll say they drive gas-guzzling cars, eat trans fat foods, expel too much flatulence helping cause a warmer climate, etc, etc, etc. These people, to the dominant media culture are the lightening rods of society. Their thoughts and ideas are not often thought of critically and dissected for anything good therein. Their ideas are normally shown to be 'stupid' and 'ridiculous' and 'full of hate'. By doing this, they show their own ignorance and lack of knowledge in the subject.

Personally, I think something good can be said about *anyone*. Maybe not much good (sometimes), but some good can be said for *everyone*. When the dominant media culture completely demonizes a person (or group of people) you know they are engaging in the same kind of activity. They can't argue logically (present debateful points against) so they must do what they can to tear the others down. If they can't bring the message down, then they feel the need to persecute the messenger.

A perfect example of the dominant media and someone that became a lightening rod literally overnight is Joe the Plumber of Ohio. A regular guy in Ohio tossing a football around in his yard when the Obama campaign came through. Eventually Obama himself came up to Joe and was given an opportunity to ask a question and then comment. Well, the rest is history. Joe the Plumber became an enemy of the dominant media culture (and the Obama campaign). The lightening bolts would surely follow sometime soon. Yep... it wasn't long before we learned about a lien on Joe's house (Joe learned of it too then). Joe's past marital life, etc. We also learned that there were un-authorized accesses into Joe's driver's record in the State of Ohio. It didn't take long before the dominant media culture had proverbially given Joe an informational examination of proctological depths. This should never happen. Joe should never have become the subject of the matter. Joes words and thoughts.. yes. Joe and his family... no. All because, what Joe said couldn't really have any real tangible arguments levied in opposing manner. The dominant media couldn't dissect Sen. Obama's words and just let them slide... so they had to discount and tear down everything humanly discoverable about Joe the Plumber.

The dominant media doesn't understand why their ratings are falling like a petrified turd in a swimming pool. Or why their like-minded newspapers have readership that is in the tank as well and might be about to go out of business. It's because of their behavior that the people of the USA that see this kind of activity and choose not to engage to choose the wares of the dominant media culture. Viewer ship goes down coupled with fewer readers. For them, they think it's a noble thing to tear down the different lightning rods that they just love to throw lightening bolts at all the time. To them, if the lightning rods didn't exist, they'd be free to think, say, and publish anything.

End of tyle ....

For your reading pleasure (if that is possible) this is the sandbox of Netiquette that we used for several years as the guidelines for conversation.




A Word about Netiquette (InterNET Etiquette)



This document isn't an attempt to squelch the expression of the different discussions of the mailing list. These guidelines are not meant to suppress good, honest, and healthy discussions and questions. Rather, they are here to promote harmony and unity among all subscribers. If a
discussion deviates outside one or more of these guidelines then the parties involved should move that discussion off this list.

Mailing List Netiquette

(This has been turned into a rant section. Do you have an email pet peeve that you see on the mailing list involving netiquette? Send it in.)

1. Does the post you're sending have "attachments"? --snip--

2. Is the post that you've sent "unbalanced" between the "old" message posted by someone else) exchange the "new" words you've added? --snip--

3. Have you captured more of the original post than is necessary?

If the first original word of your response isn't on the first page of your post, you've got a problem. Don't quote someone else's entire post to reply to it. Simply copy the relevant parts. Many mailers have a function that will automatically copy the entire post putting in the ">"s for you. Use this function with caution, and if you do use it, delete the irrelevant lines. It's annoying to have to page down about 4 times before you can read any fresh material. It also takes up precious disk space because it makes your post larger.

[modern note: disk space isn't the problem these days. More disk space can be found on a USB flash drive and carried in your pocket than can be found on dozens of machines back then easily. The problem now a days is people don't think critically enough about the material previously viewed, read, or otherwise digested to know how to snip the important parts out so that not everything is being fully regurgitated back in a reply. Editing skills play a large part in this.]

4. Is the title of your post consistent with the subject therein?

5. Is your signature file longer than six (4-6) lines long?

6. Would you say it to the person's face or at church sanctuary or fellowship hall?

If not, don't say it on the mailing list.

7. Are you angry?

If the primary motivation for the post is vindication or revenge, cool off first. Go kick a file cabinet, bite a sock, grab a hamburger and french fries and chocolate milk shake, eat some ice cream, have a cup of coffee, and maybe even pray before you reply.

8. Is the other guy flaunting his ignorance?

Even when someone else's argument is stupid, to tell them so rarely causes them to change their mind. Instead, they can often become defensive and flood the list with even more stupid arguments. So don't inflict that on the rest of us. The only thing worse than a stupid
argument is the defense of a stupid argument.

9. Has the message been spell-checked for errors?

Sometimes, the thought-finger coordination doesn't produce perfectly spelled documents sent to the list. We've all endured our share of typographical errors in reading and writing. Is there a spell checking function built into the emailing program? Or could the document be produced and then checked by invoking an spelling utility? It might be in your best interest to find out. Spelling errors imply that the composer may seem to be ... "not smart." I realize, that in all cases this isn't possible. But I can only think that correcting the spelling errors by re-reading the message before resending it can only help. I've heard that a good way to do that is to read the document from bottom to top while reading left to right. That might make you look
harder at what was just written so you might not miss anything.

10. Is the subject line relevant? --snip--

11. Keep subject lines up-to-date. --snip--

12. Does your posting mention Hitler? Nazis?

Godwin's Law: When Hitler or Nazis are brought up in a thread, it has been going on too long.

If someone compares you to Nazis, Pedophiles, or some other repulsive form of human being, you've won the argument, because they have nothing rational left to say. Leave it at that....

13. Does your post repeatedly bash another's opinions, integrity, or intelligence?

Such an action may result in an internalization of directed shame. We're all born in sin. And shaped in iniquity. And saved by grace. We don't need someone else (other than ourselves) heaping words that cause bad feelings. In a world that is constantly picking and tearing down common people with relentless fervor, do we need others of like interests to do the same?

Does the casting down of another's belief system put you on the pedestal of a prizefighter that's just gone for the kill? If you said it and later realized your error, would you willing and able to gather enough humility to apologize to that person and others on the mailing list?

Pastors would quote scripture saying "Out of the abundance of the heart, the mouth speaketh." In this case, "Out of the abundance of the heart, the fingers type." A man is defiled by what proceeds out of his mouth. Does the potential poisonous post you're about to submit reveal something that might show an inner condition of the heart that needs more attention than the submission of the post?

-------------------------other considerations-------------------------

A. Does your post contain WORDS that are in ALL CAPITAL LETTERS!!!

Caution should be used when posting in ALL CAPS because it is commonly equated to SHOUTING very loudly. Many folks can be offended by CONSTANT or ABUSE OF CAPITAL LETTERS in a MESSAGE because of its STRONG EMPHASIS.

If you want to emphasize words in a sentence. Maybe you should try using double-quote marks "like this" to draw attention, or maybe asterisks *like this*, or possibly even underscores _like this_.

There are times when writing in a CAPITAL LETTERS may be appropriate. If you need to find out how it would sound, write the message with the choice words in CAPITAL LETTERS. Then read it back to yourself. If the words or phase that is EMPHASIZED by the capital letters sounds a little peculiar when you repeat the CAPITALIZATION at a "shouted level" in your mind, it's probably too strong of an emphasis and you need to choose a different way to *emphasize* words without _shouting_ at the other members.

B. Are you monopolizing the conversation by posting too much?

Instead of replying at length to each message in a thread, compile your replies into one post. This forces you to think about such things as structure and reasoned argument as you pull together the many lines of thought in a thread. It is also much more pleasant to read.

C. Are you writing to the list, or just agreeing with the sender?

If the main message of your post is to say "Amen!" or "I agree totally," please send the post privately. Readers don't usually do a tally to see how many people agree with a particular point of view. The point of posting to the mailing list is to add to a discussion, blessing people on the list, or other reasons of member edification. Sending a post that quotes someone else at length and then just saying "Amen" at the bottom does not add to the discussion. It merely adds volume to the list. If you want the person to know you support them, tell them so in private mail.

If you feel an "Amen!" is absolutely necessary, please include something fresh as to how the previous post blessed you, effected you, caused you to think more deeply about something.

D. Has someone else already said what you want to say?

Read all the posts from mailing list (at least with the subject you want to reply to) before you reply. It's nice to be the first to offer a suggestion, or make a reply, or ask a question in response to a post, but because we are all from different parts of the world and we don't all get mail at the same time it is impossible to always be first. Make sure someone hasn't beaten you to the punch, and if they have, keep quiet and just follow along in the thread until you CAN add something unique.

E. Are you posting an opinion on a topic, or have you become the topic?

F. Are you being disruptive?

G. Has the discussion ground to a halt?

Sometimes, a discussion reaches the point where it is clear that neither person is going to convince the other. It is often best, in these instances, to bow out gracefully.

Tuesday, August 4, 2009

Video: Health Care vids from NotSoSure.org

Ya know .. the notion of something working flawlessly to help people has a real noble sound to it. Like the current health care debate. I mean, nobody wants others to be sick and dying. And nobody wants anybody to be sick and dying for an extended period of time. Anything to help others get better and get them off of that road of un-health is what we all want, eh?

Here's a couple of videos from the fellows at notsosure.org.

The first video is about how Gov't run health care would be if we were to compare it to a Gov't run restaurant. How it'd operate, the decisions it makes, the way it handles it's customers. The thing I find astounding about the health care debate is that the gov't is trying to make a one-size-fits-all set of plans that will work for all. This country of ours, is not a one-size-fits-all country. We are individuals. We have our own minds and thoughts and ideas. To force everyone into the same health care shoebox, will force restrictions and regulations in a way we've not seen before in the civilian public that people won't like.



The second video is about 'Testing Gov't Run Health Care'. Which I say.. "Hey.. let's all look to the Veterans Administration. What do the vets think about it? The ones that are healthy.. what are their opinions? The ones that are chronically sick/injured .. what do they think?" Imagine a system similar to the Veterans Administration series of hospitals / clinics / doctors / nurses / technicians / etc that is 1000x or 10,000x larger? The little problems of the VA system will likely (when similarly implemented) will become problems that are 10,000x or 100,000x worse because these problems were never solved when the set of people that are solved is relatively small in comparison.

Monday, August 3, 2009

Market Cycle History 101

By now, I hope that everybody realizes that the market (stock market) cycles of the economy has a cyclic flow. In order for us to learn about what is happening *now*, we need to discover historical cycles to understand what is the potential.

O.k... basic terms. There are two animals that describe the current market (stock market). Those two animals are BEAR and BULL. They are used as a symbol of contrast because, when either of them attack an enemy, they have distinctly different ways of dealing with the object of their attention.

A BEAR will knock his enemy to the ground. Thusly, when there is recessionary times, or economists might call it a 'time of correction' as different investment vehicles get overbought and need to adjusted back downward for all of the over purchasing .. this is called a BEAR MARKET. During a BEAR MARKET time of the economy, money is tight and doesn't flow easily. Unemployment figures rise. People lose houses in foreclosure. People take jobs that they'd normally not take because it's better to have a job as a Whopper Slopper than to not have a job at all. People will struggle to make ends meet. People will do what is required to get by to the next day. In a BEAR MARKET, the stock market will have it's time of up's and downs. When you look at the chart of a bear market, you'll see that the market makes no distinctive growth over years but makes a bunch of market W's (where the shape of the letter W is how the market goes... sometimes the ending part of the W is higher than the beginning point, and sometimes it's lower) where during the time of the BEAR MARKET.. the market likely goes sideways with no real growth or decline over the time of a BEAR MARKET. If it grows during this time, the recessions therein will likely gobble up much of the growth pretty swiftly.

Conversely, a BULL will toss the enemy into the air. Thusly, when there is times of prosperity, times when money flows pretty freely from the market and businesses therein, this is called a BULL MARKET as it increases over time. Higher prices, higher-volume, etc. During a BULL MARKET, money does flow around quite easily. Unemployment is considerably rare. People are employed in the field of their choice. People will likely be buying houses. People will be enjoying the fruits of labor. The stock market, during a BULL MARKET, will have times of progressive prosperity where money is made for an extended period of time. Yes there will be times of correction where money is lost, for the most part, it'll readjust higher than what is lost during the cycle of a BEAR MARKET.

Now, the history of the market goes back more than a century. Market cycles seem to be in ranges of years from between 16-18 years at a time. For one cycle.. it's one kind of market. For the next cycle, it is another. For our education, we'll start history around the time of the Great Depression (back to the 1930's).

From 1930 - 1948 (18 years) it's regarded as a BEAR market.
From 1948 - 1966 (18 years) it's regarded as a BULL market.
From 1966 - 1982 (16 years) it's regarded as a BEAR market.
From 1982 - 2000 (18 years) it's regarded as a BULL market.
From 2000 - ????? (16 - 18 years) a BEAR market.

So.. let's ask a question:

Q: What cycle are we currently in during 2009 and about how far into the cycle are we?

A: We are in a BEAR MARKET (a market that will go sideways, with no great gains of sustained growth). And we are likely to be in this mode for the next 7-9 years if cycles hold to their historical performance.

Does that mean people won't make money in the stock market to gain back the 30-40-50% the lost as it crashed in the latter half of 2008? I'd say, if they have the mentality of 'buy-and-hold' .. no, I don't expect they'll make any real money back from their investments until the next 7-9 years is over. It'll go up some, and down some, and up some, and down some... over and over.. but never an ever increasing basis to call it real growth.

During this time, jobs are going to mostly be going sideways as well. There will be short periods of time in it that there is some job growth. Yet, when business starts hurting (which is where 70-80% of all the jobs are located), the biggest expense to a profit is employment costs. And the largest cost to employment is the wage/salary of the employee. To preserve a profit (which is the whole reason to be in business) jobs will be eliminated. Sound familiar to what's happening today. Businesses that lose money, don't stay in business. When business can't sustain themselves, they close their doors. If the doors to a business closes, then everybody loses. If a business can continue to operate, with reduced number of employees, as painful as that sounds .. less employees and still in business is better than a business wipeout where all lose that is touched by the business.

Now, those on Wall Street are always considered to be 'Perma-BULLS', to them the market is always, or most always, or generally always looking towards growth. Which, is perfect for Wall Street because if they are looking for growth all the time, it's easier to get people to spend their money on investments in order to sell a growing investment. Never listen to the Perma-BULLS as they'll never tell you what you need to hear. They are only interested in your money and taking it. There are also people that are on the Perma-BULL side that should also never be listened to as well. These are people that are ultra-positive about trying to put forth the image of an ever-increasing economic time is... people in politics trying to promote that prosperity is soon coming because of their policies. Doesn't matter the political party in office. They'll always say things are getting better when they are in office. And things were worse under the previous fellows office. Reality is, in BEAR MARKET times (like we've been in for the last 9 years), the economy ebbs and flows according to the *now* of the time. There will be upturns/prosperity.. and there will be downturns/recession. In the current BEAR MARKET... we are experiencing a little of the bull currently.. with an upturn in the market for the last 5 months (since March 2009 .. now the beginning of August 2009). Normally, in an economic time of BEAR MARKET correction.. the bull swings normally last between 150-160 days (give or take a few days) before the market dips back down to form the last 'V' portion that makes up the last half of a 'W' (a 'W' as in the way the market would look on graph paper if you mapped out what it looks like... a letter 'W' with a *high point* followed by a slide down.. then an climb up to a point that will likely not be as high as the point of origin .. followed by another slide down and another climb back up. We normally think of a W as two V's of market activity put together side-by-side). Right now, this is where we are at. The top of a mid-bear rally before we perform a slide that will likely last a few more months.

This is why, we hear economists say that the economy is looking better.. b-b-b-b-b-b-b-but, the political party in power says that jobs might not come back until the end of this year or next year. That's because they know that the last part of this particular 'bear-market rallying *W*' has not happened yet. It's liable to go deeper (than the original dip that ended in March 2009.. maybe down to 4000 or lower) and last longer before it comes back up. Still, even if it comes back up, we have several years left in a BEAR MARKET before we get into times of prosperity.

In times when money is tight, the government should NEVER do anything to get in the way of a business making loads and loads of profit. If the government taxes business then that takes from profit. If profit goes down farther and farther. More people lose employment because a business is in the business to generate a profit. The more profit, the more the business person will want to hire more people to bring into their system to make more profit. Everybody wins! The less profit, the measures the business owner/manager has to do in order to keep a profit. Even at the expense of terminating positions of employment.

Personally, just as the sub-prime home loan started this cascade of economic failure, I wouldn't be too surprised to see the same kind of economic crisis happen with folks that are considered to be in the "rich" class of people and their mansions start to become bad real estate paper as well with foreclosures hitting their homes as well. If they used credit to buy their houses, and their cash flow is almost as tight as it is for the little guy out there, I kinda expect the same kind of mortgage crisis to hit the financial institutions with houses that have a value of more than $1M or more as foreclosures begin to rise on those that have such as well. I know this sounds gloomy, but if this happens, I expect to start hearing about it sometime in the 4th quarter of 2009. If it does, then it'll fuel a longer recessionary time where the market goes into a bearish nature longer than the last few months did when it started sliding back in the end of 2008 until March 2009.

[END NOTE: ... there's a mentality that people have a j-o-b. They'll say: "That's *my* job." No, I beg to differ with those that express that notion. The job is the employers position. You might be the one performing it at the time. To say that you have a *job*, implies you have possession and control of the *job*. And that if the job is taken from you, you are a victim from wicked hands of the employer removing it from your possession. The reality is, the position is free to come- and go- as the employer sees fit as long as the existence and performance of said job contributes to the profitability of the business. Once the job/position becomes un-profitable, then it's up to the business owner to eliminate the job/position in order to restore profitability. ]